Dead Cycling
The miracle of the market cycle - 7 Essential Indicators
My first mentor in the business told me that the property was absolutely the best vehicle investment you may ask. He said this not only because of the possibility of utilizing the Real Estate Property, but also because the property does not allow us to make quick decisions and the liquidation of assets to solve a problem only in the short term. In other words, once you have committed to an agreement, there is no quick fix to get out of it as an action.
For many of us, this benefit of investing in Real Estate has reared its head as a sort of curse on the course of the past 12 months. Many of us are sitting on a great dead properties that we wish we've never seen. The challenge now is ... what can you do with those assets to convert lemons into lemonade? The good news is ... the market will help over time.
You see, the markets are cyclical. While it may seem worst of times now, the market is not far from turning and create a Real Estate Gold Rush. To help identify changing winds in the market, there are seven key indicators to watch.
Employment growth - this is the strongest trend, with lots to see. If there is an increase in employment growth will increase demand for the product available. This general trend will increase the NOI (net operating income) on investment properties, thereby increasing the property value.
Migration - In considering the migration, there are several key areas to address for proper evaluation of their market. Is migration to enter or exit? Is it the young or old demographic? What is the income level? What is the level of education? What are the shopping needs and desires of this demographic? If the general trend is low income, this will create an increased demand rental. If the trend is towards higher income levels, this will create increased demand for single-family residences.
Path of Progress - Where growth is happening in your area? The best investment you will ever make is in front of the path of progress. This does not necessarily mean outside of the city. In many cities there is a strong tendency for urban revitalization in downtown areas. The key here is to get far enough ahead in the way of progress who benefit from it.
New Construction - While the last four indicators have been driven by demand, new construction is driven by the offer. When evaluating a market with high inventory offer brand new market, NOI is generally lower investment properties. By contrast, a low supply of new construction inventory will generally lead to higher NOI in the given market. This is an indicator of the easiest to identify and predict when change in the market next round is on the horizon.
Inflation - Often, inflation can be a friend Real Estate Investors. In general, when inflation is rising, rents are. The trick to handle as an investor is to make sure costs stay in check and up to a slower pace than their incomes as inflation pushes everything. In other words, for a period of inflation, your goal as an investor is that your NOI housing above the rate of inflation.
Interest Rates - Interest rates are the best indicator for a real estate investor instrumental to understand. The purchase of an asset at the wrong time, with a favorable interest rate can work to be good in the long term ... but buying at the right time with poor financial conditions can be devastating to a investor. Usually, when we see low interest rates, property values are higher and there are more buyers in the market single family. As interest rates rise, declining property values and we see an increase in tenants in the market.
Cash Flow - If you look at the money in its broadest scope, is a finite amount in the world. Depending on what is happening in the world, this money into and out of a wide range of investments and resources. The question is ... How does this affect real estate? Generally, when funds are flowing into the stock market, which are coming from real estate, and vice versa. The key here is to avoid the herd mentality. So ... Where should you invest today?
If you keep a close eye on these indicators, and view historical data, we will near the bottom of the market. What does that mean for us as investors? As soon as the market becomes final ... is all uphill! While herds are running to the mountains to escape the Real Estate, the mini-Warren Buffets in each of us must swallow up the property as fast as we can get our hands on it! BUT ... not without an adequate amount of due diligence and market knowledge that will invest in it Do not run blindly into an investment. Study carefully, and choose wisely. If you approach from the right angle it will not have many investments to finance retirement beyond your wildest dreams! Take action now!
About the Author
Justin Anderson is a seasoned real estate investor with over 10 years experience in the Real Estate industry. He owns over 500 rental units, has rehabbed over 300 units in the last 5 years, and has an additional 170 units in the pipeline to be redeveloped or rehabbed in the next 12 months. Additionally, Justin has mentored and trained over 2000 students over the course of the last 4 years. He is the co-founder of the Art of Real Estate Investing (www.ArtOfRealEstateInvesting.com) where you can get Your FREE Copy of The Official Rehabbers Guide to Financial Freedom! The Best Free Real Estate Investment Resource Out There!
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